Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 27, 2020

March 27, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Brix 1.80 1.7 3-1
7 7 Foothill 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Caerulean 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Betito 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Cali Caliente 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Bodega 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Handsome Cat 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Happy Boi Lucky 12.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Desert Swarm 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Top of the Game 1.60 1.7 3-1
3 3 Camino de Estrella 1.80 2 4-1
4 4 Rockandahardplace 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Play Hard to Get 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Boy Howdy 5.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Destiny’s Journey 1.80 1.6 3-1
5 5 Billy K 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 K P Whirlwind 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 K P Cats Wild 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Trafficiskillingme 5.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blackout (FR) 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Restless Rambler 3.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Morgan S. 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Italiano 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Spanish Hombre 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Appreciated 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 C Dub 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Portando 12.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Buster Douglas (BRZ) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Minoso 1.80 1.6 3-1
5 5 Tromador 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Red Valor 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Ultimate Shilo 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Irish Ballad 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Golden Image 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Satrapa 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tig Tog (IRE) 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Kittyhawk Lass 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Point Hope (IRE) 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Untouched Elegance 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Smiling Rose 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Wind Tartare (FR) 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Buyback 12.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Encountress 20.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Flying to the Line 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Merneith 1.20 1.7 3-1
1 1 As Time Goes By 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Saving Sophie 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 River Girl 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Last First Kiss 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Lil Miss Moppet 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Little Rachel 15.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Absolute Unit 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Much More Halo 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Eastern Ocean 5.00 4 7-1
7 7 Capital Call 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Railsplitter 8.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Cosmo 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Heywoods Beach 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Cardiff Cay 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Leprino 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dominant Soul 12.00 11.6 22-1
4 4 Port Saint Joe 12.00 11.6 22-1
1 1 I’m Leaving You 15.00 13.6 26-1
5 5 Our Boy Jet 15.00 13.6 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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