April 23, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Calentita (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Laska | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amber Princess | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Princesa Crystal (GB) | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Delia’s Pride | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pasatime | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Miniver | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Malaga | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Syllabus | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Gracie’s Dream | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapizar Girl | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dama de Noche | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Callmesenorita | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cabrina | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Water Wizard | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheknowsthedrill | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bust Out Lady | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trinni Sunshine | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grey Jazmine | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pazyarmonia | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crespucula | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Light | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Borrowed Angel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Make a Mint | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dotdotdash | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sandbah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Princess Avril | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Rosasparks | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Awesome Evil | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | New York Commander | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hechizada | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Stylish | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Bionda | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Cultivation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dancingwithjimmieb | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Miriana’s Queen | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lovely Lee | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Paynter Fest | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time to Two Step | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Boss | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Samoa | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Looking for More | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stamina Princess | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Country Strong | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaufy Futures | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joplin | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alafia | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eight Ain’t Enough | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Tricky Magician | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Willing to Speed | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dermot | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Valdolobo (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Carbon Data | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Luna | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiz Luna | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Winking At Thedude | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Undaunted | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Untitled | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | First and Three | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Roman Empire | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gray Beau | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Getting Over Me | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Champagneonme | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Morocco | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quenane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Dr. Edgar | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gemonteer | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phat Man | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Driven by Thunder | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Grand Journey | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzarunner | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Home Base | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Big Agenda | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Piven | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Megacity | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leo’s Diamond | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Bird Map | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Topo Grigio | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Never Sleeps | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil Miss Hot Mess | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Addison | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kimura | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Opry | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arthur Kitt (GB) | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Temple | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bird’s Eye View | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Prince of Arabia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Green Mo’ster | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rijeka (IRE) | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neepawa | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder Ride | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ry’s the Guy | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Award Winner | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Timmy M. | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Krampus | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Retro Street | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Oblio’s Wish | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trilby | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Yako | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Story | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dangerous Woman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Blossom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Valley Date | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bahama Kitten | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spicy Nelly | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tropicality | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Sassy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vinyardnina | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dixie Princess | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.