Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 30, 2020

April 30, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Jesse Jones 12.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Officer Donell 30.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Risky Situation 30.00 1.3 2-1
11 10 Summertimer 20.00 1.3 2-1
9 8 My Sugar Town 15.00 1.4 3-1
5 4 Rich Icon 4.50 1.4 3-1
12 11 Explosive Shoes 5.00 1.4 3-1
13 12 Rock City Rocket 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 James’s Moonshine 3.50 1.5 3-1
8 7 Hale’s Angel 12.00 1.5 3-1
10 9 Grahamstan 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 6 Boo Be Right 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Daddy Jack 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Blacks Ferry Road 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jimmy At Last 12.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Late Act Jones 15.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 G. C. Crackerjack 20.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Campaign Spy 6.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 P C Suspect 30.00 2 4-1
2 2 Young Hendrick 4.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Leo Del Reo 12.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Tiz McNamara 5.00 2.5 5-1
12 12 In the Deep 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Shoal Bay 30.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 My Boy Lollipop 2.00 7.1 13-1
13 13 Seek N Justice 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Super Terrific 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Graffito 20.00 13.8 26-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Air Power 15.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Broadway Ice 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Five O One 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Meetme At d’Street 30.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Swiss Minister 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Tres Equis 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Big League 2.50 6 11-1
11 11 Most Mischief 30.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Roaring Rule 6.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Guska Mon Shoes 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Doc Curlin 12.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Sing Him a Song 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 One Stop Shop 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lewys Vaporizer 3.00 13.9 26-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Alittlebitofsmarty 50.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sense You Left 30.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Malibu Marlee 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Hashtag Winner 20.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Pretti Xtreme 15.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Flashy Biz 15.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Irish Intuition 10.00 1.3 2-1
12 12 Garden Affair 12.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Cherokee Maiden 3.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Kizzy B 4.50 1.3 3-1
10 10 Shazzy B 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Honorable Memory 6.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 Soothing 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Visual Magic 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 11 Front Door 6.00 1.1 2-1
12 10 On Patrol 15.00 2 4-1
4 3 Ucanthankmelater 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Pinson 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Parade Field 3.50 5.4 10-1
8 7 He’s So Zazzy 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 9 Red Again 15.00 8 15-1
3 2 Frost Or Frippery 3.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 No Distortion 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Gigging 6.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Mineyerownmalone 12.00 12 23-1
9 8 Matrooh 4.00 12.2 23-1
5 4 Eights and Aces 20.00 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Deflater 20.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Aggressivity 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 8 Lionite 3.50 3 6-1
9 7 Cowboy Cool 30.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Petrov 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 The Red Dude 4.50 6.3 12-1
11 9 Victory Element 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 5 C Z Rocket 6.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Ike 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Gordy Florida 5.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Scoring 6.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Polly’s Brother 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Ruling 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 The Big Bluff 8.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Flash of Silver 5.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Reelfoot 4.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Shackleford’s Joy 12.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Knight Commander 10.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Gum Tree Lane 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Secret Biscuit 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Sacred Oath 4.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Flight Boss 15.00 7.1 13-1
13 13 Nashvegas 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Woopigsooie 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 The Great Dansky 6.00 13.9 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vexatious 4.50 1 2-1
5 4 Beach Flower 15.00 1.3 2-1
6 5 Blessed Again 20.00 1.6 3-1
9 7 Motion Emotion 10.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Vault 3.50 5.9 11-1
4 3 Letruska 4.50 5.9 11-1
8 6 Blamed 4.50 8.8 17-1
3 3 Miss Bigly 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fighting Mad 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Edgemont Road 12.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Box of Chocolates 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 American Mandate 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Creme de Cerise 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Breaking News 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Hollywood Star 30.00 4.1 8-1
12 11 Haydens Havoc 4.00 5.3 10-1
11 10 Marvin 3.50 6.4 12-1
5 5 I’m Busy 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Horse Doctor 10.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Hubbadahubbadaboom 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Benintendi 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Here Comes Kyle 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Union Ride 4.00 13.7 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.