May 2, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Hero d’Oro | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Turn of Events | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | East Lex | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wind Ridge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Coach Temple | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Elusive Ruler | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lascari (GB) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Constitutional Pal | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Irked | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mighty Tough | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Win d’Oro | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Maine | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Luckytobeinamerica | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fives Wild | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nacho Papa | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King’s Castle | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gran Causeway | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | London Werewolf | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baba Tobi | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sighted | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Rock Salt | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Or’effice | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ajhar | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Newsworthy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Superfecto | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Lighting | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cornbread Kingdom | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rag Tag | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | She So Naughty | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Invaluable | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teenage Kicks | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chez Paree | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Private Message | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Espiritu de Luna | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kay’s Dream | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Miss Macho | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Little Devil | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Valdocco | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Phish Fan | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silent Tiger | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zalza | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Finnegan (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jamaican | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Followhisfootsteps | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dr Harlan | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Black Pepper | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Charge Card | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pachanga Party | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Loriloupies | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetheart Deal | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Customerexperience | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Fionnuala | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freezer Burn | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Hot Drama | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smitten for Smitty | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glory Dia | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Juan Boly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lookin At Roses | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Positive Phil | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Poppy’s Boys | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smell of Roses | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Conquistador | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Lil Devil | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dizzy Sight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Bebeau | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ole Mole | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Vita Dolce | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My G P S | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Notsosubtle | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | January Won | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kid Bourbon | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Bobby | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overdeliver | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gump | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beau Luminarie | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just for One Day | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sandino Ruler (ARG) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allurstra | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be Gone Daddy | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Honey Ryder S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Envoutante | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ginger Kitty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Highland Glory | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mimina’s Team | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Pleasant Orb | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ivyetsu | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Seducer | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Astoria Kitten | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dream Marie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Micheline | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bajan Girl | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stunning Sky | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Onyx | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamonds Are A | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Rusia | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Big Drama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Network Effect | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | He Hate Me | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Red Crescent | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Last Judgment | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Noble Drama | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | With Verve | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Royal Squeeze | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Garter and Tie | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – English Channel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | South Bend | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Extraordinary | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gufo | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Proven Strategies | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer to Remember | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ever Dangerous | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Island Commish | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buy Me Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Doc Boy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Express Pharoah | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Justinthenickotime | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Don Juan Kitten | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fame to Famous | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Britesideoftheroad | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hotty Toddy | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She Takes Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Drinks On Me | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Beach Dreaming | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Incondicional | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Paint the Corners | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Little Code | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dance Till Dawn | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dangerous Woman | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Much About It | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.