Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 7, 2020

May 7, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 No No Nina 1.60 3.2 6-1
6 6 Myfirstexwife 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Businessindubai 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Shell Beach Party 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Above Par 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Jimmys Lass 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Party Dress 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Wonder Charm 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Blame the Storm 20.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 Silver Nina 20.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 New York Commander 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hechizada 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Dotdotdash 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Trinni Flower 30.00 11.2 21-1
11 11 Emilia Strong 30.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Gem Thief 1.80 1.9 3-1
5 4 Lyrical 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Awesome View 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Princess Secret 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Briella 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Race Day Speed 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Yafa 15.00 6 11-1
6 5 Sister Aurora 30.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Tharos 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Dannyhill 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dayoutoftheoffice 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tequa 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dancing in Fire 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stormy Boss 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Varsovia 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Miss Mac 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Take Charge Again 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Chic and Sexy 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Cherorama 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mia’s Bobtail 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Formula 5.00 2 4-1
12 9 Caribbean Kitten 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 4 Garner State Park 4.00 2.9 5-1
10 8 Veer 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 6 Missandei 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Couple of Nikkis 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Goodbitofbizness 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 1 Sequaya 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 7 Mucha Suerte 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Honolua Bay 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 El Scorcho 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lady Teuflesberg 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bee Wings 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Wonder Blondy 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Noble Maria 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Gracie’s Dream 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 3 Bourbon Currency 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 2 Bad Beat Brian 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 1 Lucky Mike 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Indian Counselor 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Digital Footprint 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cable Channel 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Blameless 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Motataabeq 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Grainger County 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 Victory Town 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Chamberlain 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Halo’s Dance 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Ominous 20.00 5.6 10-1
2 1 Carson and I 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Celtic Brotherhood 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Sandys Blaze 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Royally Cool 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Heir Ball 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 Some Say So 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Midnight Miracle 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Faith N Hope 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Dixie Princess 20.00 6.3 12-1
11 10 Answer My Call 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Trixie’s Time 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 8 Majestic Maiara 30.00 7.9 15-1
8 7 True Heiress 30.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Fiber Optic 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Worth Avenue 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Memorize 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Four K’s 3.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Nowitna River 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Shall Return 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Salsa Rita 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Gilda F. 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Dancing Noelle 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Bean Counter 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Lido Key 6.00 3 6-1
10 8 Mike’s Girl 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 4 Augusta Moon 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Champagne Horizon 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 5 Sassy Justice 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 6 Big Tina 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 7 Champagne Bliss 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Sammie Sunshine 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Avenida Manana 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flora Fantasy 1.20 1.8 3-1
3 3 Royal Meghan 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bow Town Cat 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sayonara Baby 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Baby Ice 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Bion Magic 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Gioielli 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kitten’s Clown 4.50 2 4-1
10 9 Champers 4.00 3 6-1
11 10 Call Bros 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Koko Star 6.00 3.3 6-1
12 11 Metcalf 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Fake Muse 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Two by Two 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Lucky Stripe 15.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Uncle Renny 15.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 My Chitu 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Call Curt 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Riggins 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Stonecastle 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Wind Ridge 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Seven Channels 20.00 11.2 21-1
3 3 Senzazione 20.00 11.8 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.