May 17, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Holly Hill | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | I’m Prayingforthat | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Onezy’s Dream | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Golden Tap | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bahamian Girl | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Follow Me Mom | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Abarrio | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Milady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Zip It Jess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bella Bionda | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | O Driscoll | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tempus | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bulkcarrier | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Wade | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Trinni Dancer | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nit Pick | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bambino | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Privilegio | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | El Duque | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | We Connected | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Embustero | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gran Casique | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plato | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | R U Lucky | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Like You | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Temptations | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Prince Khozan | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inter Miami | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6 | Unrighteous | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Scanno | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | This Ill Defend | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Palace Kitten | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rocket Blast | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Borgobythesea | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Opus North | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Voodoo Zip | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Holy Emperor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Phantom Dance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Red Fog | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzling Prose | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Geonosis | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dardanellos | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Mischief | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thats All He Wrote | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exatlon | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Bull | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Hotsy Totsy (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Music of Life | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Isla Road | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scatnap | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Niko’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Codrington | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Katieleigh | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sweet Hitch Hiker | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glam | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ria Munk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sniper Shot | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Squeezadios | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quenane | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legit | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Green Mansions | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Max K. O. | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Noble Thought | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Arabia | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shendam (FR) | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Musical Heart | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rhythmia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Duc de Calas (FR) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | So High (GB) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rijeka (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sunday Silence S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spinoff | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Dollar Bill | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just Whistle | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | You’re to Blame | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eye of a Jedi | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phat Man | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Guacamole | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Ebullient | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Makealitlemischief | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bramble Queen | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bienville Street | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Helping Lisa D | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | La Australiana | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Zarina | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Artist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Traipsing | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beale Street | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miss Munnings | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Catharsis | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stormy Nelly | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Distinctly Blue | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Miss Miami | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Great Kath | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Free the Beast | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Towa | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awsum Roar | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Twice as Magical | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Archumybaby | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bye Bye Nicky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | I Love to Race | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.