June 28, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quasar Moon | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingsville | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Third Army | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | London Werewolf | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Cesco | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Paynter | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Earthquake | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beau Trace | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bluesky Kitten | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gettinintomischief | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rock With Robin | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katiesdreamgirl | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Habibi | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ceviche | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Basora | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Nesso | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sundown Kid | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Storm the Bridge | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jack El Barbaro | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | War of Deception | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Eagles Dawn | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | East Code | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Restless Rocker | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big’s Gray Day | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Souper Shenanigan | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Enough | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Old Parr | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Deo Forte | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Felon | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wild One Forever | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | El Gran Cacao | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Money Come | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Duke | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jamaican | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrivederla | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karen’s Cove | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Early Deligh | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Resident | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Pepper | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Summer in the City | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s Just Quality | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Mallomar | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | You’re the Best | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pseudonym | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fall Moon | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puppet Master | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Humor Me Dixie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Mystical Moon | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Smell of Roses | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Im the Captain Now | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unlimited Data | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Resident Liberal | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devoted Kitten | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tetsu | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Party | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Geography | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Channeledslongshot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Youshouldbesolucky | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | I Aint Tellin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mason’s Song | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bye Bye Man | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cappy Hour | 30.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monmouth Dr | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Genghis | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tons of Gold | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blessed Journey | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lure Him In | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Indy’s Jewel | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kid Drama | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Gone | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Morning Stride | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Noon Rider | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharm El Sheikh | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alien Invasion | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donji | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Fire | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remember the Maine | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Espresso Caliente | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Lovely Luvy | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Key Biscayne | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yesterdayoncemore (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Passion Plus | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | East Coast Swing | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Drinks On Me | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indicia | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lady Nina | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sammie Sunshine | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Candy Crushem | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Il Faraone | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trappezoid | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Cove | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Krachenwagen | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Areyoutalkingtome | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snap Hook | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peppi the Hunter | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last Promise | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.