July 3, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Say Yes Di Di | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Royalglitz | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Am Aine | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yougottabekitten | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thunderturtle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sister Seville | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Melisande | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mayan Queen | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notroubleatall | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Racing My Father | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kate Carmack | 4.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mysterio | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hero’s Return | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hizaam | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always Forgiven | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girls Love Me | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boat Over the Hill | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spare Key | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stated | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nevisian Sunset | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mixways | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love’s Legend | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Algodonal | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen of Cause | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Horizon | 2.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shake D Moon | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Moon Watcher | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Street | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Street Prayer | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tauber | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thatwouldbegrand | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dontmesawithsister | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cam’s Carter | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Fooling Dude | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tastes Like Plaid | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sophie Rules | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Padrina | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laska | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Entrada | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lagom | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thirsty Again | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ducky | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unstopabull Belle | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Why Not You | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Not My Money | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Pretty | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cornetta’s Choice | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eagle Keeper | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Thunder | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | H R H Jellybean | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Robber Bob | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nicky Bear | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kickstarter | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pardon the Pun | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | First Fighter | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Confectioner | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Skies | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auchincruive | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luv the Painter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Got Blues (FR) | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judi Blue Eyes | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Twirling Wind | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bethabara | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunday Red | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pins and Needles | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Toma | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In Class | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Or Less | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Millie Child | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oddseverinurfavor | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gennie Highway | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spanxamillion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Revolving Love | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pure Romance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tybalt | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tattooed | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harpers First Ride | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cordmaker | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alwaysmining | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | John Jones | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Compound It | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | No Dozing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Name Changer | 4.50 | 15.2 | 29-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Honor the Fleet | 12.00 | 16.1 | 30-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bickley | 30.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aransas | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cannon’s Roar | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J Beresford Tipton | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epitomize | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Frank’s Way | 30.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Eyck | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Game | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chateau de Vizille | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crouchelli | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grace Isabella | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foxy Mischief | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cruise and Danze | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Hawk | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Limited View | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Red | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Reins | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Can the Queen | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jenn’s the Boss | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mary’s Jewel | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merry Maid | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beantown Baby | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carolina Ice | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Skiff | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magical Luna | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raging Blaze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mae Sai Princess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.