July 3, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Paquita | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dad’s Missy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gizmo Flash | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bossalina | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Five Days in May | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toy Show | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Glib Marylin | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Not Orbinary | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cape Mist | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Bella | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheztenthehardway | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shamruckus | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil’s Turn | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Island | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blockbuster | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamite Karma | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charles Street | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | San Nicola Brew | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Blue | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Seen | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Heart Rush | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rose Ring | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rosiejewel Dancer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warning Belle | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonnie Scot | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Black Sage | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | J M R Bold Vision | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Toughing It Out | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freshieintheforest | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready’s Princess | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Red Rollin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pastel Emily | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simply a Zoomer | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cedar Valley | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Queen’s Court | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Dragon | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lost Corsage | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capture the Moment | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parable | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Zoological | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Patrol | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Forester’s Turn | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Parmigiano | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Highvoltage | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barilko | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookinatamiracle | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Finalist | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All Inclusive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Range of Motion | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Green | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Samuel H | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love of Mine | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kuduro | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keep Your Word | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daddyplaystheblues | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin’ Fly | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Matinee | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Newfie Express | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Head Kitten | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Data Boy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild About Blue | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wave Warning | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stoneaway | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Manny | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Town | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seifert | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dark Ale | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunka Wakan | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Matteo | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.