July 4, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aim for the Stars | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trinity Girl | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rye Street | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enyo | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hairspray | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Broadway Trouper | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Best Moon Ever | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Pal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | La Silueta | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ran Char | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mabel’s Fable | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Carrot Cake | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Whoa Black Betty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Princess Rosie | 4.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suzzette Star | 3.50 | 12.4 | 24-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Old Line Magic | 3.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Odds On | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Maquina Gris | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outplay | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No More Talk | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cause He’s Western | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingston Pike | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lion Lord | 1.80 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indian Ghost | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Strive for a Cure | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Cotswold Wasp (GB) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fair Catch | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Absalom | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Five Card Draw | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taskinas | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confusion Baby Boy | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kathak | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Son | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Red Mule | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shelly Island | 6.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Somekindofmagician | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Moorhead | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dharmaster | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Revolutionary Road | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seville Barber | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Botswana | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cabinet Pik | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Step | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Closer Look | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Father’s Luck | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Beyond the Victory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Barrel of Stout | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Seven Chevy | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bandolini | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Danz a Rebel | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Given | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lunar Image | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allthewrongreasons | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Irishtown | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paid Holiday | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nation U S A | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Great Country | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nomo d’Oro | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One Way Passage | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sailingintothewind | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Celebre (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Darling’s Cure | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coleraine | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Deciding Vote | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All’s Fair | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Witty Banter | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luck Money | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good On Paper | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | June Ann (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Dancing Til Dusk | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’t None Lucky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Somewhere Golden | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Determined Heart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Amplio Esquema | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Secure Connection | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Britesideoftheroad | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ylikedis | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Little Jewel | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fed Up Fired Up | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sunrisebernsteini | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shifra Magician | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fionnbharr | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Finest | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancingwithpaynter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Candy Money | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hunting Season | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lordhavemercy | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carey Times | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Off the Record | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Benintendi | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crouchelli | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air On Fire | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sparty | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bullets Child | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cousin Jimmy | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Determined Pursuit | 30.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Jimbo | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rising Perry | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Real Factor | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bold Trek | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Team Effort | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Lion | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Haz a Notion | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Once in a Lifetime | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Irish Crossing | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skyjacked | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Up Against It | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bayou Jam | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Completed Pass | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lewisfield | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Threes Over Deuces | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Onemoregreattime | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Taco Supream | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ballivor | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dontmesawithme | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Eastern Bay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Santo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lifespan | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Tower | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flushed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Striking It Lucky | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cark | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seville Row | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Moonshine | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bob’s Glory | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Kater | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Second Encore | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.