July 4, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Hatmaker Holiday | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cleomenes | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nero Davola | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Mamba | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Secretly | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matthaus | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Down to Earth | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Genesis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Martini Sue | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Princess | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Call Her Joey | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Playing Smart | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Shades | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Natural Habitat | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cheeky Pint | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Sugar Pie | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harpswell | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pressure Front | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Juxtapose | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Tap | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Takota | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Eh | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Lori | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ima Beast | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Teacher’s Pet | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Yola | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Have a Souper Day | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Google It | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Argentium | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sunspear | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bexar | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Striking Moon | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Agnelli | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zoomer Music | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | White Wedding | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keen Artie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Munnings Beach | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fiesta in Vegas | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lenches Gimme | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Lute | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carolina Grace | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Vision | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystery Day | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cheekylicious | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Rapiduno | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Inventing Blame | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rose’s Vision | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Split My Pants | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hold’emforransom | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inclusive | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Combative | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Woodbridge | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eskiminzin | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artistico | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wile E Peyote | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Magic Tapit | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Osage Moon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Queenston S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ennis the Menace | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tecumseh’s War | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halo Again | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dotted Line | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Wave | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deviant | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | See Forever | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glorious Tribute | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Revenge | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Eclipse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Avie’s Flatter | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Bull | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skywire | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Ritz (GB) | 1.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cooler Mike | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Journeyman | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solidify | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muskoka Son | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of Vienna | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Diffley | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Walkabout Creek | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Bolt | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Epilogue | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormfuhr | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Free Speech | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tomcat Black | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sure Would Forest | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Belichick | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shirl’s Speight | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | U S Army Corps | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Over the Hills | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Spinning Piper | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Marshall Rabil | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Just Like Larry | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | L’Etat (GER) | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bulletproof | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Birchmount Rd | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | English Conqueror | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Unwavering | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Strike the Top | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Celebratory | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Enchant Me | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | More Chances | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.