July 9, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Frankel At Ascot (FR) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steal My Sunshine | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alda | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Illegal Smile (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Contained | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funwhileitlasted | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trewish | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Javelin | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Moneymeister | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vincero | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Swiping Dan | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tipsy Moose | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Massey Hall | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stoney Bennett | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zonic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hungry Kitten | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ebony (FR) | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Setting the Mood | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whatdoesasharksay | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Mo Temper | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Amber | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Belleza | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Me Tomorrow | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madam Deputy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allure Fortune | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Central Exit | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buffet | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Giant Stella | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sander’s Empire | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Funderella | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Another | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | C C Rider | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Out East | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Film | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Channel Island | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tricky Magician | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uhtred | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Riendo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monaghan | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Orsay | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Back Channel | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Harlem Heights | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pop a Choc | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Simply Sweet | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fast Chica | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Buyer’s Remorse | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Capraia’s Destiny | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Venus Oyzo | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Word | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Assiduously (GB) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On Base | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Will Sing for Wine | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Country | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buy Me Candy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shamrocket | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arithmetic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Mrs. Danvers | 0.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Cru Classe | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Great Johanna | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Excess Capacity | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Maiden Beauty | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dovey Lovey | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Cobra Sophie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Simply Miss Red | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Matador Moon | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Come Storming | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toastnjam | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fleet Stepper | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Happy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Won | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wishes and Dreams | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shine Like Bobby | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Plimsoll Anny | 50.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Acting Chipper | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | We Are Family | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Queen Daveigh | 50.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.