July 11, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hydrogen | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Octopus | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foreign Protocol | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister McLean | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malakai Moxie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Next Flight | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Commander (FR) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D K’s Crown | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Time | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carpe Victoriam | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Restoring Dreams | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shootin Money | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Warning | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Handsome Cat | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Final Final | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Convex | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trojan Magic | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Ricky | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Da Kine | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pour On the Cole | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bigfoot City | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Chewy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sapori Girl | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Constantia | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star of Africa | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | M Fast | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Olive You More | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surface | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rowangoeshollywood | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Jamboree | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Viazar | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Drop Tini | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tripple Shake | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mandrew | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raisebeforetheflop | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Rod Charlie | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girther | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cross Indian | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Speedy Justice | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mystic Flight (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Torosay | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reedley | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Duplicity | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Psycho Dar | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Capture the Sea | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | K P Indy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Scarto | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Distant Vista (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Party Town | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | I Am the Danger | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kneedeepinsnow | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Silent Movies | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rogallo | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Sydney | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All I Can Say | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taco Waco | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mantaray Island | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Patrick | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suances Secret | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Include the Tax | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Wickerr S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Voodoo Song | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Score | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kiwi’s Dream (AUS) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souter (GB) | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bolo | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Murad Khan (FR) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bob and Jackie | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jasikan (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Year | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Diva in Charge | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sabinos Pride | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rather Nosy | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paige Runner | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Velvet | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buyback | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Teachers Big Dream | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kristi’s Tiger | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Surround (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nurse Goodbody | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bristol Bayou | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Into Victory | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Diamond | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | This Tea | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Devil | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Resarcio | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dolci | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fabiolla (GB) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Palm | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Convincingly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.