July 11, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Map of America | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Collection | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Timeless | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Addadore | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deco Strong | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Friesan | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Nonsense | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quality too Spare | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | The Carlbrook Kid | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Time Flies By | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flat Rate | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lucky Junior | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hollywood Overdogs | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Savage Music | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Minit I See U | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shackleford Road | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marvin | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Dawn | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Slipper | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Federale | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On the Lam | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Beau | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | Slime Queen | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 1 | Belongs to Babe | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Fine One Won | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Like n’ Eagle | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Osage Treaty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lady Rosalie (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mosalah | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Safari Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | I’ll Take That | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Saigon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Vi Haines | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Suddenlylastsummer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bourbon Aida | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Holly’s Lady | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Helen Gibson | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mavilus | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lazy Michelle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Charly | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Prime Coat | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kens Lady | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Connie Too | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Treasure Seeker | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Nurse Rachett | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Square Penny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Looks Don’t Lie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Woodbine Way | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Roadhouse Blues | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Thursday | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Dashing Beauty S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Anna’s Bandit | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Chalon | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A Bit of Both | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | I’m the Talent | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Warm | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Getouttamyway | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Last True Love | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Doctorsofmischief | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Dixie Serenade | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bronx Beauty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Phantom Shot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Robert G. Dick Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Gentle Ruler | 1.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Tass | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Tightly Twisted | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Saffron Spirit | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Shifra Magician | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Sippy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | La Australiana | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Not in Jeopardy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Beale Street | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Theodora B. | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Delaware H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bellera | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dunbar Road | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Saracosa | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lucky Move | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wicked Awesome | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Over Thinking | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vexatious | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Always Shopping | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Two Emmys | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Aspect | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Last Zip | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abiding Star | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taxable Goods | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Do With Pride | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Broth | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soglio | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Artemus Bridge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sixty Five (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rambaldi (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Epic (ARG) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mokheef | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | No Bull Addiction | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Onward | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Skol Factor | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Cyril’s Boy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bojingle | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Set | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Boomer | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guitar Tribute | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucy’s Journey | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happiness | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.