July 11, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King Tut | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cartel Jo | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cosino Flare | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jj Eyes Cartel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Mps Jess Valentina | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ks Quick Shooter | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Golden Rose | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wow What a Chic | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bjs Dragonchik | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mj Fast Caliente | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | El Predator | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Blue | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rdd Empire Builder | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blueacrossyourmind | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jet Black Design | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Stand for the Flag | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | His Louisiana Dream | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chloes Take Over | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Foxy Chic | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zoomin for Joe | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rf Miss Dashin Duck | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runaway Cash Machine | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Piloto Shiney | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dashing Red Lexus | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adoremycorona | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Darlene Shez Flying | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southside Girl | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hez a Fast Flash | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Dove | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bag of Gouties | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Homebrew | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yes Eyem Blue | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Runaway Dash | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divide Her Cash | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blj Eye Gotta Secret | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shez All Biznez | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jls Hippy Cartel | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Denim | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Jess Rogue | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kk Mrs Piloto Speed | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Two Timin Taylor | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheezavailable | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blazin Raisen | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Weslaco | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angel of Da Cartel | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Babygator | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bjs Going Going Gone | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Gray Patriot | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ttt Double Dashing | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golding Boy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Msm Another Patriot | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rdd Pure Sensations | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Really a Doll | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Secret Black Jet | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tdz Toast to Blue | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bp One Sweet Policy | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tee Zo | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bc Stormin Da Bank | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Bone Special | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Corona and Champagne | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Blue Streak | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Boogie Boy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kool Guns | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jet Black Corona | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ce Mi Esperanza | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Apollitical B Mary | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tmf Rogue Runner | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rddjacquiesfastdash | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bay Be Wild | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Daddys Tee Cos | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Run and Jump | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ttt Eileithyia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jrs Fantasys Alibi | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quervos Saraphin | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tm Dee First Bar | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Princess Train | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steam Rollyr | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mya Patriot | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royally Dash | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Colita Blanca | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runaway Blue | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ld Big John Leaving | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keachi | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ah Louisiana | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Struttin First | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | First Magic Runaway | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ahs Black Pearl | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Domination | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Jack Tara | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kashs Bar Habits | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Kali T | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bp Policies Down | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be Mighty Valiant | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jet Black Felissa | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tito C | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.