July 11, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silent Charity | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Post to Post | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Benevida | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Finest Jewel | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dance Along Dede | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katla’s Fury | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Echo in the Forest | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | King Causeway | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seguimi | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mnemba Island | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mambointheforest | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Self Inflicted | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Torpedo Max | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Reign Man | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cryptic Grip | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Retreat | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Victor’s Dynasty | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Desolator | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call It a Wrap | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Me Your Spots | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ari Gold Speedwagn | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Society’s Tiger | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nestleton Hush | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fort Hope | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artie My Boy | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bold Victory | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Thrill | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fifth Season | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Heart | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olliemyboy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancers Ghost | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Holyfield | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King of the Ring | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Thinking | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Designed by Kitten | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Purrsuade Me | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rotary | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mitzi | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Valor | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Empress | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keyed Up | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Indy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moonlit Garden | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Script | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Rain | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dreams Are Free | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Tango | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Juliana (PER) | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take Chargechristy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get Explicit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Connaught Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Olympic Runner | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gray’s Fable | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Poet | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blind Ambition | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | City Boy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Admiralty Pier | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Flag | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Regally Irish | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bode’s Maker | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lapochka | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Follow My Lead | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Forester’s Destiny | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Court Battle | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | English Illusion | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Eliminatr | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Yes I See | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Deep Freeze | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | All Good | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mind the Gap | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Prideofdistinction | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Royal Laser | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Encierro | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Timeskip | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Willy’s Castle | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Peace of Ekati | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muchokova | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Viewfinder | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Alternative View | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mariposa Belle | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Giant Sonet | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ride the Wind | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Erica’s On Board | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shanghai Kimmy | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Evangeline | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tara Dawn | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Eyes On Me | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glistening Waters | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Naitaka | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Queen Beach | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Twirling Faith | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Aramon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | San Nicola Star | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Frost Dance | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.