July 12, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Violent Fight | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mountain Breeze | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kitten’s Clown | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Express Boy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | First in Line | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Inaceptable | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | D. Silo | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Iambutter | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Unpopular Opinion | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fayez | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fuego | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | K’s Funhouse | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Felix Leiter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mozano | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | King Andres | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ima Coalman | 30.00 | 13 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sundown Kid | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bridologist | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Miles High | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oroscopo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rojo Grande | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | East Code | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Union | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galan | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Kyle | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tropicat | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Honolulu Express | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apache Brave | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valiant Virtue | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pemaquid Pete | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Nettleton | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Gone Gone | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Krammy Boy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fortune Cookie | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trappezoid | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Krachenwagen | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brasstown | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Gray Line | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Beau | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elite Appeal | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild About This | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Strict Vow | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Little Bella | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | For Kicks | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pemaquid Dot | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tennessee Cotton | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ourhandsomegal | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snow and Lillylynn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bizness Beauty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pure Magic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sense a Million | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ohmymy | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Superhighway | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Fog | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slippy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lebasi | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rattlesnake Face | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thats All He Wrote | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gator Fifty Two | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exatlon | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Breeze On By | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lauda Speed | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Exonerated Prez | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Another Duke | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Imperial King | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Toscanito | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gruntled | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Brody | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Violent | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honesto | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Screen Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Portofino Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Tournesol | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mijet | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Onyx | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Yesterdayoncemore (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Days of Spring | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Freret | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Blue Mistress | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R U Royalty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sound Machine | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Get Khozy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Money Never Sleeps | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fuel the Bern | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Front Loaded | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soldollie | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | South Sea | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Country Singer | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Friend Flavin | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reservenotattained | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Run Devil | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heiressindy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bimini | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time to Two Step | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fortunate Cat | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Assume Control | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fast Fraction | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zodiac Princess | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caribbean Kitten | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trieste (BRZ) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Viva Per Lei | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Bit Dangerous | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Maria | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Etana | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blues Songs | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tell Me Maux | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gioielli | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lady Fiorella | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Garota | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.