July 12, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mia’s Extortionist | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blessed Two | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hardy Candy | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chestermere | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flash Man | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Melody | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Chart | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deputy of Egbert | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Twick | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Mamba | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Question | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Verrazano | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Cant Catch Her | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Purple Scooter | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buttered Toast | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lets Dance Some Mo | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Copley | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ready to Repeat | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gretzky the Great | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Master Spy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Threefiftyseven | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jacoba | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Overload | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chunky Monkey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bokermin | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highriseinthepeg | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Orphan Hallie | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Yzerman | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Seventh Wonder | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Icomefromdowntown | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Executive Search | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sweepin Hard | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whizmo | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Another Breeze | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Liquid Louie | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Martheus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sport’n Forty | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Second Grace | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Excelling | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Curlin | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Candy’s Dream | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ballrooms of Mars | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | River of Pearls | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | In Pursuit | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pipestone | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itskathiesluckyday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sandy Bay | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macho T | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wiley O’Rielly | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Ringdana | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Money Matters | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spanish Major | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Rockbarton | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Hope Vision | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sativa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Capture the Music | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Radio Nowhere | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Preferred Guest | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Tiger | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Broken Breeze | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gizmo’s Princess | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | November Fog | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nana Sav | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faith Over Fear | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Text Me Up | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Priceless Will | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Executive | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Hierarchy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Last Sensation | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impressive Speed | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pickhimupsup | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Snow | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cardiff Hall | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Venture | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Professor Tally | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Touman | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dream Maker | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full Extreme | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Tapit | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Man | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aheadbyacentury | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Theregoesjojo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faraway Kitten | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Tappitty Tappitty | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | I Wonder | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hastalavistababy | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Samarian | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Runway Dreamer | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Wedding | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Golden Garter | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Niigon’s Spin | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Comic Kitten | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | March of Dreams | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soexotic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bel Tempo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rolling Sloan | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glamourous Girl | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Society’s Story | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Linda Loves Lace | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Yasinia | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Queen’s Speed | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Faith | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Too Many Mountans | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Marjorie’s Dream | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Aramon | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Above the Line | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Joan’s Christine | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beat the Rush | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.