July 14, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bayleaf | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iwasbornawinner | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pascha Pascha | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucha Muchacha | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Salty | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Sharpie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bryce’s Philly | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ask Siri | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz a Date | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ana Lass | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’ttouchmystuff | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sunfest | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supergirl Power | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savannah’s Dream | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pastiche | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Love On Fire | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Take Me Home | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Spanky | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Thatta Boy Girl | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Littlemissbusiness | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Star Lo | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Knock Out Kid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | La Candelita | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Heatherly | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flippity Flop | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Big Red Seven | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pretty Cool Cat | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Saratoga by Design | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Yes Mz Adah | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fleur de Force | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Descarado | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Empty House | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kion | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Antrim Aubrey | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dubrovsky | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Synergized | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Hail to the King | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Knokke by the Sea | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manipulate | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Surfer Boy George | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Offerhecantrefuse | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ami’s Artie | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boat Over the Hill | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petulant Delight | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don Polo | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quench My Thirst | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vocab | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jones Taxi | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delinquent | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Glory Song | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hizaam | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Storm Factor | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Noble Authority | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | The Fairlee Boys | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Hope | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Beautiful | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Indian Tango | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Blue Buff | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Thundershook | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adventist | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deal Driven | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bob’s My Uncle | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Know It All | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alaapatique | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Quality Asset | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Miss Jen | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Questeq | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Morgan’s Z Va | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tig Tog (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | B B’s Busted | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ma de Taw | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Whitney Cove | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Chancee | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She’s Primo | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Sweet Turn | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uncommon Factor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dance and Dance | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Elizabeth T | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Ark in the Dark | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Ashraq | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Phil | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Black Light | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 6 | War Tocsin | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Strictly the Best | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Sir Back in Black | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bet the Pot | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Masterful Touch | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hibachi | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sailor Again | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ron Don Scorese | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spider Bite | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joe Flash | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jama Dillon | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Danzafied | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Fox | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vencil | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.