July 16, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mg Runaway Prieto | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jumpn First | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jessa Fast Pop Sm | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Lies | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cartels Magic Show | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Aviadoy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make Mine Adouble | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Custom Make | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Coronas Got Game | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tee Cos Queen | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dash for Monee | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Mighty Key | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fdd Gentle Giant | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Cool Too | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Jess Aw | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Tempting King | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ladasha | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eye Will Decide | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hez Jess Runaway | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One Sweet Game | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bjs Dragonroc | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Herez the Bar | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Djr Sassy Patriot | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Luke Chapter Fifteen | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jj Jess Baby | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desperadeaux | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jl Feature Runaway | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shedonerunaway | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Real World | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bayou Kue | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | U R Jess Blue | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beyondthecos | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ajs Streakin Fast | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bjs Joyful Fantasy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gp Won Special Cooki | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Key Needed | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Prize Streak | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shake Em Ike | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rl First Homerun | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Toni Leaving You | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Five Bar Charade | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Runaway Lee | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jls Classy Beduino | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B Rads Corona | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ttt Copa de Oro | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nbc Mr Taylor | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marks Women Will | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hush Up and Kiss Me | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Askin for Greatness | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Royal Renegade | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happie Happie Happie | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kalies Prize | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Rare Stoli | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toasta Patriot Chick | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eye Sizzle | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gorgeous Leon | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kiss My Debut Gl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lynns Tee Cos Love | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lc Matching Funds | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mp Special Pilot | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jj Idea Dash | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crouchin Tiger | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jigg Adieu | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Im Moonin Too | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Eyesa Perfect Storm | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Perry | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Oh Shez Awesome | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Tough | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Separate Mischief | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Fast Prize Doll | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coronas Oceanfrnt | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Win a Lota | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Majestic Diamond | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Moon First | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Flyboy | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All N for Cash | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shespantheraalcartel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Add a Little Alcohol | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rogues Tribute | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jess La Shananigans | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cc Fancy Girl | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carry Corona Cash | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pips Caliente | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Jordan Silo | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.