July 16, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Show Me the Prize | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ezme’sgirl | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sothatsthewayitis | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Court Time | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Munch and Crunch | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Sevens | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alkeline | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Figura | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Poem | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capoeira | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soexotic | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Close Image | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Darlin Forever | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nordic Pearl | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Chopper | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheetahra | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hope Garden | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Down With Brown | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pierian | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Showbiz Lady | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Echo Location | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wuk Up Queen | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Senorita Uno | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eli’s Fortune | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forest At Dawn | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onezy’s Dream | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cicibonne | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soup Du Jour | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Krz Society | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shishka | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tango Dancer | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Am I Said | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Leonard’s Bay | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Gizmo | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Mine | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Night Watchman | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Eliminatr | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dupes | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tishina | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hitters Park | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitchen Fire | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mas Chikilin | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salieri | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reconfigure | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Western Trouble | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alicia’s Kid | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Bound | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Sunshine | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Gigi Go Gigi Go | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Adore Me | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Got Moves | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Beach | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beat the Rush | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vesperanza | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Fret | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boscobel | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.