July 18, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Yare N Dira | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Veil | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fact Checking | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Beast | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ka Gee Gee | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Subzero Plus | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summerland | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Make No Mistake | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Take It Easy | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sparkle Sammy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heart Rush | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Priceless | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Chocolate | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Burbank Road | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forest Halo | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sugati | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Carpe Horseshoe | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conzip | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | More Savvy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreaming of Drew | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Martina’s Gals | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Cross | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blu Sky Sunrise | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | For My Elbi | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Money in the Pool | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Revivalist | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cora | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | La Bestia | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Did I Stutter | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Letter Roll | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Del | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seamialaugh | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Bon Bon | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Could Be Fate | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Dragon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Appella | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Audition | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Twomanyshots | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Laxmi | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Auburn Hills | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Knight | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clayton | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | See Forever | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Finalist | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Truebelieve | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Green Growth | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Thunder | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secret Archangel | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Ballerina | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bobbit | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Let’s Have Fun | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hold the Applause | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kozy Kat | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glorious Gizmo | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bambarra Bay | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snattered | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wide Awake | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Affair | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Secret Agent | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Muchacha | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Limerick Lassie | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Neptune’s Pearl | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Choose Hope | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sting to Win | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Curls | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bunchkins | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Trillium S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Art of Almost | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Theodora B. | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Painting | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Another Time | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Escape | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wings of Dawn | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nantucket Red | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amalfi Coast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Royal North S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lady Grace | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sister Peacock | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foxxy Belle | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Sunday | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Charmaine’s Mia | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eyeinthesky | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bohemian Bourbon | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gamble’s Candy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Another Time | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Sweet Society | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Staronthehorizon | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Trail Blazing Essa | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Capture the Moment | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Boatloadofnerve | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sararenda | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Naked Illusion | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tackle the North | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five Sparrows | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | The Good Witch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | O La La | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.