July 19, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dark Ale | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Head Kitten | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Wil | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Northern Solution | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Steel Wool | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunka Wakan | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Deputy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mycrazylife | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sterling Ice | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bend in the River | 1.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dealmaker | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Under City Lights | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Audition | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Appella | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mijo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Samurai Queen | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pink Scribbles | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Piquet | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wilburnrubber | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mary of Scotts | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cindervella | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Doll | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Betwixting | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Behave | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Macho Bourbon | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Fabiana | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Systemic Risk | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Say Hey (FR) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Short Summer Dress | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Bear | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ishiyaya | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Guitar George | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saltini | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Combative | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fire for Effect | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carmenootz | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Drena’s Bullet | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coleyville | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Jet | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Buttermilk Pike | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Walkabout Creek | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sure Would Forest | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forester’s Turn | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Inclusive | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Belt | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Vienna | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Downy Boy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormfuhr | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Ennis the Menace | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Risetothechallenge | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Fortune | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pinky Dude | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Trappeze Artist | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | White Wedding | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | D Magician | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Four Aces High | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Constantino | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big League | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strategic Vision | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dani’s Victory | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elusive Ro | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Souper Fly Over | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Solution | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Dancer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lead Director | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Keen Samurai | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Last American Exit | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Entry to Heaven | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Love Gold | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Pharoah | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ghost of the Mambo | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Racing in the Rain | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greek Geek | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Moonlite | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.