July 30, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Im Leavin Zoomin | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Runner | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Bee Dee | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fdd Ever Be | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Okie Hombre | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluebert Wilson | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tha Highway Man | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr Campa | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tm Monster Train | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heza Okey Dokey Kat | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jess Louisiana Tee | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Masons Jet Black | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | U R Jess Blue | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Count Azoom | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | House Pool | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charge de Kas | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heisasgoodasheis | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miwayornoway | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mardi Gras Paint | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love the Way You Fly | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rdd Empire Builder | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pollitically Correct | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Freight | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonocracy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taylor Made Cartel | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Butter Me Perry | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stolincowgirl | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Glazee | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jess a Fast Rogue | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Tickin Patriot | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tdz Jet Black Down | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heza Lawman | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Away Cache | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barnett Cartel | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Apollitical Winner | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jrs Coronas Toast | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Patriot On Ice | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blues Forrtune | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A True Patriot | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lto Thumbs Up | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Apollitical B Snow | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Train of Diamonds | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rio Rojo Train B | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ho Lotta Pazzazz | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Apollitical Bug | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Special Politico | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lifeinthefastlanes | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Politically Blue | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Second Down | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess U R Blue | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ed O | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rh Jess Momo | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hh Gailforce | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rf Debs Patriot | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kennons Patriot | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Toast to Blue | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dashing Noah | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Cajun Toast | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hez Dashing Ok | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Class Prize | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willrhettjet | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kki Kicker | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ajs Fast Game | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sizzlin Werker | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allyejay | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ojos de Angel | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loaded Dragon | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quicks Blue Print | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tesoro | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Struttin First | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Msm Another Patriot | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tg Coronas | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jesslouisianamoshine | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Panchito Lover | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Open Me Crystal | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cr Miss Red | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barefoot Dru | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rh Bernalita | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alita | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jla French Chic | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ec Bay Bay | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three R Corona | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bag of Fantasies | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.