July 30, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | This Round’s Mine | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossalina | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sayso | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grateful Praise | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Text Me Up | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Totally Perfect | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Dont Get Smart | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Muskoka Dancer | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Carolina Grace | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I Am I Said | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dunbow Road | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dad’s Missy | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Katla’s Fury | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Savvy’s Sister | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toy Show | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Fiesta in Vegas | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pluie d’Avril | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warning Belle | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sadie Irene | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Misguided Passion | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simply Mysterious | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready’s Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No Question | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Victorian Moon | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Ginger | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maxis Babe | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Verrazano | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wuk Up Queen | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flatoutonamission | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forest At Dawn | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Rapiduno | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheekylicious | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hai Bobbi | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spanish Ballerina | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moksgmol | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonnie Lee | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Egyptian Nights | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’ll Take the Gold | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Lily | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cindervella | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Boardroom | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cleanup Time | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Money Ride | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lontano | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Inclusive | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Thieves | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Meant to Be | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Real Money | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Malibu Secret | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eskiminzin | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Final Jeopardy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boreal Spirit | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | City Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eight Speed | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classy n’ Silent | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cicibonne | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justcall Me Candy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soup Du Jour | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Real Chopper | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nordic Pearl | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Down With Brown | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hope Garden | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.