August 4, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eclipsed Moon | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manipulate | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor and Courage | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woodbury | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jones Taxi | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Wisdom | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vocab | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Victoria E | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rumor Ridge | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creedibility | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strega Nonna | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mija Bella | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Congaree Rose | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willthisshipsail | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morissette | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Drummer Don | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Watch My Dust | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marq One | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sight Line | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Reigning Warrior | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ginner | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Treasury Stock | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Banker’s Island | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Noble Kent | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | They Shot Sonny | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | California Night | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 8 | True Boldness | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Grit’n’grind | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Direct Order | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Gate Warrior | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Five More Minutes | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navy Commander | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drosselmagic | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Catch Fire | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ziggy Mon | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lady’s Weekend | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quarky | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hay Boy | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Forest River | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Baptize the Boy | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where You Was | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will’s Pioneer | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Septimius Severus | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart and Tough | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Greely Is Back | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Free for Nothing | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ask Chuck | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Superfly | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ark in the Dark | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bojingle | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hitmewthurbestshot | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Hero | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Tocsin | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caniform | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Royal T | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blood Moon | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romanoff | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rookie Salsa | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wartime Hero | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghost Game | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inter Miami | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Chase | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Street | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kelli’s Smile | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Roundtree | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Atlantic Chill | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Irish Meadow | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mt Suribachi | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Go Go | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Son of Darkness | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gadago | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strictly the Best | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tara’s Talent | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nightlife | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coupella | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Queen Michelle | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elegant Gal | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doctorsofmischief | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Circle Game | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sierra Sarah | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gallic War | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Fenomeno | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Start | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Field Officer | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dougie | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Bella Chica | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thin Spaces | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Exploded | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bullzilla | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.