August 12, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brio Man | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inky Dinky Do | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pharaoh’s City | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Niko Strong | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tomater Gator | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Don’t Make It Easy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chelios | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Under the Graydar | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Saratoga Wildcat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rose of Dublin | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Excess | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cat Giumarello | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caramel Cream | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Bounty | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double the Bet | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galileo’s Affair | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Ziggy Mon | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Catch Fire | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Septimius Severus | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Baptize the Boy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Will’s Pioneer | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five More Minutes | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talented Son | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Koan | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yondering | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Boat Over the Hill | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Curlin’s Knight | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grand Oasis | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surfer Boy George | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raggy Rocks | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Synergized | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Savage | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loviniseasy | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Tony P | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splitzville | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Almost Irish | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | E T’s Night Ranger | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tomasco | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impossebull | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Creative Princess | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Blame | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gator Girl | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colloquium | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mija Bella | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bearing Secrets | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Hat Tizzy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lorden’s Love | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Karen’s Gem | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chubofftheoldblock | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bow Town Cat | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookingforanewspot | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sally O’Prado | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Shine | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Di | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nth Degree | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nightlife | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m the Talent | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Queen Michelle | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fish to Fry | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doctorsofmischief | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Circle Game | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Semi Excited | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Forest Fire | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Harpers First Ride | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deal Driven | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Infuriated | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ruby Bleu | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Senior Investment | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Promised Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Lover | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Optic Way | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Sight Line | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reigning Warrior | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Printer | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | His Royal Majesty | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Finglas | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Marq One | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Metaphorical | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Banker’s Island | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ginner | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Watch My Dust | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Flat Bill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Salutation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lunar Rover | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | Drummer Don | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Noble Kent | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nap Lajoie | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.