Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 13, 2020

August 13, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Patrick’s Lass 2.50 3.4 6-1
10 10 Tabernacle 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tantalizing Gal 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Mermaid’s Tear 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Missing Link 5.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Blazing Miss Jojo 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 I Am the Boss 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Mangrove Mamma 30.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Tonala 30.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Gem Thief 1.40 SCRATCH
12 12 One of Us 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 What a Knockout 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Shouldaknownbetter 30.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Canyouhearmenow 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Bastien Le Brown 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Come See About It 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Top Boss 1.60 3.8 7-1
3 3 True Identity 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Geometrico 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Catching Fish 30.00 7 13-1
2 2 Orula 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Florida Cotton 1.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sovereign Impact 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Town Policy 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Swagger 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Taco 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Papacho 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Focus On Me 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Gemologister 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nationalist 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Daresca 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 6 Captured Light 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Irish Thunder 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 New York Commander 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Cool Stance 30.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Ms. Outrajes 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Vuyelwa 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Aerodynamic 2.50 4.9 9-1
12 12 Noble Maria 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Lil Bit Dangerous 6.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Little Bit Good 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Millefiori 3.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Dinner At Five 10.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Wild About This 15.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Tailadios 20.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Couple of Nikkis 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Midnight Gem 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Capeline 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Matraca 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Ourhandsomegal 20.00 10.5 20-1
9 9 Red Kitten 30.00 11 21-1
1 1 Tell Me Maux 30.00 13 25-1
3 3 Mi Karlita 30.00 13.2 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hero Tiger 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Deckology 2.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 London Werewolf 3.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Red Nation 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Beau Trace 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Atthepearlygates 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 King’s Castle 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Saint Larned 30.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Freddy Soto 30.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Hoponthebusgus 3.50 5.4 10-1
8 6 Lillie’s Heat 4.50 5.5 10-1
9 7 Yako 5.00 5.6 11-1
10 8 La Incondicional 4.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Colonels Daughter 8.00 7.4 14-1
7 5 Sassy Justice 6.00 7.9 15-1
11 9 Spicy Nelly 15.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Kylla Instinct (GB) 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Valley Date 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ledecky 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Picasso Moon 2.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Believe Indeed 3.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Tropicality 20.00 10.9 21-1
12 10 Final Flurry 30.00 13.6 26-1
1 1 Vinyardnina 30.00 13.8 26-1
14 11 Dixie Princess 30.00 13.9 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rebelde 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Like You 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Genghis 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Tons of Gold 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Avant Garde 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Blessed Journey 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Saint Benevolence 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Kunal 4.00 4.1 8-1
13 11 Shanghai Moon 4.00 4.5 9-1
11 9 Verdict Is In 3.50 4.5 9-1
10 8 Bacano 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Keepsakekitten 2.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Kid Drama 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Atakan 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Earthquake 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Exatlon 30.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 He’s Super Lucky 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sorcier 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Frank First 1.60 SCRATCH
2 2 Beinfun 30.00 11.4 21-1
12 10 Mr. Cesco 30.00 11.7 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.