Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 16, 2020

August 16, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Souper Munnings 1.80 2.6 5-1
7 7 Amalfi Sky 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Rosa’s Soul 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 In My Opinion 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Dirty Dangle 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 High Society Girl 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Grapevine 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Keep Your Word 1.60 2.6 5-1
4 4 Celtic Chief 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Society Joe 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 New Deal 3.00 4 7-1
6 6 Virgil Caine 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Carl G 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Schimmel 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 I’ve Paid My Dues 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Kilkenny Prospect 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Guitar George 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Carmenootz 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Glenville Gardens 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Fire for Effect 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Gigantic Breeze 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Nevaeh’s Valentine 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Moscow Minister 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Franco 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Time Gizmo 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Muskoka Storm 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Daddyplaystheblues 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Final Eclipse 8.00 4.1 8-1
11 9 Owen’s Souper Moon 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 St. Paddy’s Daddy 10.00 4.6 9-1
12 10 Union Appreciation 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Blue Snow 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Sweepin Hard 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Personal Journey 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Beyond the Budget 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Fast Thinking 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jammin Still 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Blockbuster 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Lord Wimborne (IRE) 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Truly Elite 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Uno Champ 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Now We Are Nine 8.00 5 9-1
11 11 The Boss Factor 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Flashymeister 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Kitten’s Boy 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Zoomer Music 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Spring Edition 20.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Other Things Equal 20.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lead Director 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Windchill Zar 4.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Racing in the Rain 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Fort Hope 3.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Over the Hills 20.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Voltamour 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Atone 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Viature 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Red Astaire 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 He’s a Gizmo 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 King of the Ring 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Mr. Todd 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Mycrazylife 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Pickhimupsup 8.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Kish Point 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Kyslios’s Justice 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 American Driven 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Seaway S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Souper Escape 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Painting 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Amalfi Coast 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Another Time 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Sister Peacock 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Gamble’s Candy 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Charmaine’s Mia 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Miss Mosaic 20.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Thor’s Rocket 4.00 2.2 4-1
10 9 Reconfigure 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Souper Stonehenge 6.00 3 6-1
9 8 Gray’s Fable 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Solidify 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Rose’s Vision 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Wedgewood 20.00 6 11-1
8 7 Perfect Speighty 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Strike Me Down 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Wile E Peyote 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 O La La 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Frost Dance 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Twomanyshots 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Screen Diva 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Baby Driver 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Pressure Front 10.00 7.1 14-1
7 7 Keep Your Silence 12.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Friday Night Magic 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Natural Habitat 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Pastel Emily 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Capable 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Willed 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Boscobel 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Queen Andher Court 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Call Her Joey 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Nordic Pearl 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Have a Souper Day 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Keen Artie 4.00 3.4 6-1
13 13 Bend in the River 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bokermin 8.00 3.7 7-1
14 14 Cleanup Time 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Sunspear 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Prince of Thieves 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Pinky Dude 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Risetothechallenge 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Money Matters 20.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Cryptic Grip 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 D Magician 30.00 9.8 19-1
15 15 Can’tbetemall 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 North Battleford 30.00 10.1 19-1
4 4 Polydeuces 30.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.