August 18, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Joanna | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Florencia | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Graces | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Better Begin | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’ttouchmystuff | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Claire Bear | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Driver’s License | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Watch Your Words | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maimo | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Mac Cool | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baduke | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Rags | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Free for Nothing | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Howboutdempats | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Incensed | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Descarado | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Red Seven | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marnesia Big Girl | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Penance | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Cool Cat | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chorite | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flippity Flop | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Makes Me Smile | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Livin a Dream | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imperial Lady | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prospective Belle | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harbour Way | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Sky | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | To the Flag | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Mosey | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Natasha Fatale | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chancee | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magalie | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Viva Nevada | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Only Essa | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elissas Secret | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleur de Force | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hola Princess | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pansy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Rolling Palisades | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aspen Xtreme | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Defibrillator | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Haz a Notion | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wise Jude | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arrecife | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart and Tough | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | The Want of a Nail | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Where You Was | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Amblin Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Turn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Double Doink | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jumpintoaction | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Diamond | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Imagination | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Florence Run | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Please | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broad Jumper | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gotta Get Away | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Martini Kid | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Immunity | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Justin | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Asset | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trilogy | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Cougar | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gilded Warrior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Spider Jorgensen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Quality Choice | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Senor Louie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cloontia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | K D’s Cat Bird | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Don Camillo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flat Bill | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Staynsidethecircle | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kidnapped | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frank N Ducky | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Reigning Champion | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Doom | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Call Me G Q | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Do It My Way | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grandpa Dominick | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clickclickclick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Smokin Princess | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mucha Muchacha | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Magic Moment | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fusi | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Like a Pro | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Raphael | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allegretto | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Sharpie | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Metro Girl | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Salty | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Madam Meena | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Gracie | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capital Q | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jaffle | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promised Storm | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disco Deja Vu | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Philadelphia Belle | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rolls Royce Joyce | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Ticked All Daboxes | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Happyascanb | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dream’n Demon | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Field Officer | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gallic War | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dougie | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rickie’s Melody | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thin Spaces | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Odds Are | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Just Exploded | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Later | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | El Fenomeno | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.