August 21, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Katz On the Moon | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Howard | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Western Society | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Llano | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Data Boy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Optimystical | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eagle Keeper | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bullet Speed | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Matteo | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ice Blue | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Melody | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | San Nicola Brew | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Advance | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clearly Seen | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agnelli | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cryptic Grip | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tallestofthetall | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | One More Drift | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Reign Man | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bala Falls | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Archangel | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Ale | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frac Attack | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Google It | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double the Heart | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wuk Up Queen | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | West Paw | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Egyptian Nights | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pink Scribbles | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Interesting Times | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’ll Take the Gold | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Paquita | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tiz My Right | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gosudarina | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good to Me | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dad’s Missy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Not Orbinary | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Make No Mistake | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spider Dance | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Burbank Road | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soexotic | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pluie d’Avril | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bel Tempo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slydini | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cape Mist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Unwavering | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hell Bent | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Range of Motion | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orazio | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Uncle Drew | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Icomefromdowntown | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Watchnsee | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Highriseinthepeg | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Samuel H | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Final Strike | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Our Eyes Touched | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Post to Post | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Power House | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s In A Kiss (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clairessence | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wilburnrubber | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hanchy | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flash of Silver | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fright Night | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Piccadilly Beau | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lauderdale | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itstartswithadrink | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Run With It | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sofia’s Slugger | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prison Padre | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seemee | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Spanish River | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forester’s Destiny | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Follow My Lead | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Street Legal | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tishina | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Breeze | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Captain Sidney | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Am Prepared | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Uncle Grumpy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dupes | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bode’s Maker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.