August 22, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Matraca | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Karenina | 1.20 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tailadios | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Babybel | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avocado Toast | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Slewys Chosen One | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bizness Beauty | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kisses for Tizzy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Randiabby | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Awesome Beach | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Win for Winslow | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Catching Fish | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dang It | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Come See About It | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Unimpeached | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hail Southern | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First and Three | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J S Bach | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dexter Road | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Takedown | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Holiday | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kahramani | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Done Acting | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lil Bit Dangerous | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Couple of Nikkis | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cherokee Sound | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bati Bati | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Capeline | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Galway Star | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Water | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Karlita | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cobb | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exxtop | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Congrats Again | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Andres Eduardo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Navajo Creed | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Brody | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peruvian Dancer | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Slippy | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rags for Britches | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coming Up Roses | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Textpectation | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exatlon | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yadi | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Russian Wine | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bellas Fella | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mon Petit Chou | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beth’s Dream | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dem a Wonder | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Okalani | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sexy Dream | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | V K Star | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backspark | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Special Princess | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Dominance | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dream d’Oro | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharetheblame | 1.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unpublished | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Road to Peace | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taamer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Embers | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Teddy’s Honor | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Coltrane | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Positive Phil | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Just the Facts | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ice Tea | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Uncle Curly | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Genghis | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Benefactor | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Green Mansions | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Allurstra | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tatweej | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Glory of Florida | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tap the Mojo | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louis Le Grande | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hard Lighting | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colour Guard | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Oroscopo | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Maquiavelo | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Winter At Bastogne | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Poznan | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Andres Roman | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Makinalegacy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | D’guapo | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ramsey’s Empire | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stopit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.