August 30, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aerodynamic | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Too Much War | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | For Kicks | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Strong Gem | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Generic Mark | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money Factor | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Aguas Coloradas | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moments to Saver | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame the Gods | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Play That Tone | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calentita (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lil Bit Dangerous | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wesley Owen | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nimble Beast | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Signified | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Courage de Lion | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Old Main | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fergus Bogel | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willard | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Match Runner | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Act Like Artie | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Ranger | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lake Parima | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Martha | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smirkotch | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Gata Negra | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captivant | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeanie Vee | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Markistan | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Say Adios | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Solid as a Rock | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Channeled’s Angel | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Langue Liee | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shes One Mad Momma | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elegante | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Immersion | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Day | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rough Entry | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nicholas Rose | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pro Quality | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No More Business | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Igor | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Escena S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crumb Bun | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Estilo Talentoso | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Helping Lisa D | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Ciao | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reluctant Bride | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Get Khozy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Take Me as I Am | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Your Eyes Only | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal Coast | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | West Side Girl | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marvelous Marlene | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Tap Birdie | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Love in Her Eyes | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Nterprise | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Nyssa | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ten Pin Ally | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maystart | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tons of Gold | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | More Than Usual | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scar | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m More Ready | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macho d’Oro | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Moon | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purecrazidude | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Party | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sturgeon | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hero Tiger | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marcelino | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Cardinal | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Earth | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenacity Zip | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Star Juancho | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sovereign Impact | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pure Luck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fuzzy Irish Rascal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Diamond Mint | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Gran Malbec | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gettinintomischief | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chief White Sox | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Papacho | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Marta | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midtown Rose | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faith N Hope | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chutzpah | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Be Honest | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bahamian Girl | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rosyjersey | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fina | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Camellia Gal | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Loretta | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cultivation | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Our Little Devil | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gitana | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kayla’s Tune | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenerife Moon | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shining Silverstar | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mystic Moon | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purple Peopleeater | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | War Goddess | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.