Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 3, 2020

September 3, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Jill 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 2 Stormy Jess 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Money in the Pool 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 3 Endorphin Rush 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 5 Slashs Red Diamond 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 4 Kentucky Fan 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Dallian M. 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fiona Bay 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rum Raisin 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Aramon 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 6 Pleather Jacket 6.00 3 6-1
4 3 Show Some Skin 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 5 Tara Dawn 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 4 Capture the Moment 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Cherubic 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Souper Capacity 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Reinforced 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Devine Dancing 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 A. A. Tzarina 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Northern Diamond 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Easy Access 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 No More Fences 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Musically Inclined 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Big Ginger 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sothatsthewayitis 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bear Kitty 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Modus Operandi 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Rexdale 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Tayler’s the Boss 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Hassah (GB) 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Afleet Connection 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Sugati 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gamble’s Silver 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Silent Sparkle 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sunsprite 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 High Society Girl 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Dejas Too 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Saved At the Wire 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Very Savvy 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Voir Dire 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 The Twelfth 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Too Many Mountans 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Miss Bobbit 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Silver Dahlia 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Teacher’s Pet 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 The Good Witch 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Aunt Tillie 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Let’s Have Fun 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 My Final Trick 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Guitar George 3.00 1.8 3-1
9 8 Frankie Barone 4.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Fire for Effect 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Florida Won 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 The Boss Factor 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Courtly Manner 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Bourbon Extension 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Court Battle 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 O’Kratos 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carolina Grace 6.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Post to Post 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Sailing By 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Piquet 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Clairessence 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Dad’s Missy 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Freshieintheforest 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Mamita’s Chica 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Warning Belle 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Gizmo Flash 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Twentytwentycrest 20.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.