September 4, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | War of Deception | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soul Reflection | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of Rock | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swingin On a Star | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Union | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Churchills Victory | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wordman | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stopit | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Capture the Crown | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Nebraskan | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | The Beast and I | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adeeb | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Semper Fi | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scotch Whiskey | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chill Haze | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reaction Time | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trinni John | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Halo’s Dance | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sinister | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Uncle Andrew | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Keepsakekitten | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Verdict Is In | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Bacano | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kid Drama | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | St Joe Viper | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bee Major | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Earthquake | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Enough | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Plato | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Millionaire Runner | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iconic | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monmouth Dr | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Paynter | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drop Kick | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Gray Line | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Wrench It | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Congrats This | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bluesky Kitten | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sope | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apache | 1.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Valid Exchange | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Took a Cab | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jack El Barbaro | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Giant Missile | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I’am Beowulf | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Big’s Gray Day | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | El Solitario | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eagles Dawn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ball Lightning | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pretty Liddie | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Italy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hope Lady | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dancing in Fire | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | What a Knockout | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Run Silent | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vivi’s Dream’s | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Simpatia | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Hoponthebusgus | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Passion Plus | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oblio’s Wish | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zodiac Princess | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Classy of Course | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brookes All Mine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | She Takes Heart | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Possible Dear | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bimini | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Drinks On Me | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Nina | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lamplighter Jack | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liv and Let Liv | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paladio | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Dreams | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exchange Day | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Leonardo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Darla | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heart of God | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yodel E. A. Who | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Squeeze | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | South Sea | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Around | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Tapisserie | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Grace | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Shendam (FR) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Budget Buster | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drillomatic | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dillon Rocks | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danville | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Youshouldbesolucky | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smell of Roses | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Fog | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Speed Franco | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Devoted Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Im the Captain Now | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Machiavelli | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Elvis Cole | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Larned | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bye Bye Man | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Tide | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.