September 5, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Dancing Crane | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sierra Diamond | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Luci Breeze | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mermaid’s Tear | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Prize | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bella Basora | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Corinthia | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sheza Happy Girl | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Palace Girl | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dial a Lady | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Miss Jojo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cactus Kitten | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dream Adrianna | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tinikka Lorraine | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Miranda Sofia | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Upstaging | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marianna Queen | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Starship Blanca | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Irish Thunder | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dreaminofdasies | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rack Daddy | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Borrowed Angel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Sassy Gidget | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Wellingtons Rose | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Itsenough | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J’s Indian Charm | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Worth Avenue | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noncents | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Takecharge Mirella | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salsa Rita | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Captured Light | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surprise Arrival | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daresca | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Callmesenorita | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benny’s Girlfriend | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vuyelwa | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Palms | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Signing Bonus | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandbah | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Maverick Kitten | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Skyray | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | City Park | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Strong Headed | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spinning Kitten | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Road to Peace | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Who | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Journey | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Riggins | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brasstown | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trappezoid | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Avant Garde | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snap Hook | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Create Again | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Il Faraone | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Kahuna | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Krammy Boy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Game Boy Benny | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Pepper | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tip Sheet | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Town Policy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fourth Design | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Power Walker | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charge Card | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bear’s Den S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Monforte | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy But Smart | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lure Him In | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Graceful Kitten | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cadet Connelly | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Citrus Burst | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Singinginthejohn | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Surprise Factor | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Phenom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Descente | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bahama Kitten | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grace’s Drama | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Picasso Moon | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Assume Control | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nowitna River | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Note to Selfie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Babie Monster | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caspian Tale | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Miss Gracie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heiressindy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Blue Mistress | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lady Panda | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo of the West | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fujairah | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Meadow Beauty | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Merseyside | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Onyx | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Drop a Hint | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lavi | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Addilyn | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kozy Dreams | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Thissmytime | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Maries Melody | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Smile Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cool Arrow | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | With Verve | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Krsto Skye | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ournationonparade | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Crown | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weisser | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Speed Franco | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mason’s Song | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Im the Captain Now | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock the Causeway | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Notsosubtle | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unlimited Data | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devoted Kitten | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Monroe | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Machiavelli | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Debdurite | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Aequor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fantasizing | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Graydar’s Resolve | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.