September 5, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Limon Volador | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speed Alert | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Aida | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Witty Banter | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inside the Box | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beckon | 2.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gale | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zola B | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pounding Music | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Twixt S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Juliana (PER) | 8.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tasting the Stars | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artful Splatter | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Awesome | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth With a Kick | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lookin for Candy | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flowzano | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sipping Champagne | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pins and Needles | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Keeper in Spite | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Millie Child | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Melisande | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunday Red | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Data Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Zip It Jess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Contessa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Midship Lady | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Princess Rosie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Defy Expectations | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Alma North S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bye Bye Bertie | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amy’s Challenge | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last True Love | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Never Enough Time | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chalon | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bunting | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Break Curfew | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Bella Nicole | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey and Rye | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hitch a Ride | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moquist | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | No Down Days | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Marley | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Potion | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Monet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Deputed Testamony S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tybalt | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cordmaker | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harpers First Ride | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grumps Little Tots | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infuriated | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome D J | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Compound It | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | English Tavern | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Back Charge | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Infinity | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glacier Park | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eje Gama | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rum Bobby | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yes Means No | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nicky Bear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Asta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spider Bite | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Curlee Fox | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Walk Up Music | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | My Moonshine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lifespan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Matsuda | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Divine Proportion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Polynesian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eastern Bay | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meru | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Threes Over Deuces | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taco Supream | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laki | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Onemoregreattime | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tappin Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Indy Takes Charge | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bossy Bride | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Edgy | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Escape Fund | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dontletsweetfoolya | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sarah’s Treasure | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wonder City | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Money Fromheaven | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angel At War | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mortal Storm | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Why Now | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Lovely Girl | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Hoopla | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Princess Killmain | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hannah’s Smile | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Unaquoi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Something Magical | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hip Hop | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | A Great Time | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Epic Idea | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moravian Prayer | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | M. J.’s Lady | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fairy Wish | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Jazz | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sayyida Al Hurra | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gennie Highway | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Giulia Ammannati | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rockstar Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | R V Treasure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Alleria | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cold Hearted Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ribbon Winner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.