September 11, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Molly Bolts | 10.00 | 0.8 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | May On the Run | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Pretty | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mouse Cat | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Why Not You | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royalglitz | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pardon the Pun | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Holy Saint | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Galatians | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wind Ridge | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Token | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R V Treasure | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Striking It Lucky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Seville Row | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | McElmore Avenue | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cobalt Baron | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lynchburg | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Motion | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feature Act | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Overpower | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Find Your Boaz | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cara Mor | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nicky Bear | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daper’s Drink | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vigilantes Way | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mucha Mezquina | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Epic Idea | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hollywood Hoopla | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Artist | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shoobiedoobydoo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ylikedis | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Palm Reader | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Company | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Something Magical | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dixie Cannon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kailee (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Catsoutofthebag | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tuned (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Glory Song | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great Go Go | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Little Beast | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seven On the Rocks | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empire Line | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outside the Box | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greek Prince | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Times | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | In the Loop | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Air On Fire | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Armament | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smokin Hot Factor | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hill Shadow | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mead Avenue | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beltway Bob | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soulmate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dashing Lou | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mokheef | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kiss My Note | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Across the Aisle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Asset Allocation | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Atta Kid | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mischiefs Model | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Juror Number Four | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Green Eyes | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shackaboom | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buckey’s Charm | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Why Not Tonight | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wonderwall | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Champagne Toast | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Italian Dressing | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mit Mazel | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nicolar | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Air Force Pink | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mosler’s Image | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Commanding General | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dirtyfoot | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Powerfully Built | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Red Clay Road | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Karan’s Notion | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starry Messenger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | He’s One Wild Dude | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fly the W | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Carey Times | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Carbon Data | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Battlebus | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Greely Is Back | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Xmasinthecity | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Patriotic Punch | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Red | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sevilla Sangria | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Mine | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Island Notion | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Story | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Got Any | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whispurring Kitten | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ohh Beehave | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hickory Made | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.