September 11, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Dream | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nice Brown Girl | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ariel | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pearl Heist | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Comic Kitten | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bossalina | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moksgmol | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Todd | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liquid Louie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tall Water | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Gershwin Tune | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Give Me an Eye | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Schimmel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calling Bear | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Torah’s Blessing | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin’ Fly | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Byebye Byebye | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capture the Ride | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Well You Startedit | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cigarillo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glinda Good Witch | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Federal Court | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Dad Rocks | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gizmo’s B F F | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kerics Beauty | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Signature Dish | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stepitupstephanie | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | O La La | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adore Me | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Born to Be Good | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hasn’t Hit Me Yet | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Six Pack Girl | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Matilda | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Director | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Joan’s Christine | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enhanced Finance | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Typically | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Business Class | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tackle the North | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shes the North | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Vision | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire Angel | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Playing | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keepme in Thegame | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Super Jade | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | L’Amour Toujours | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gloriannia | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buttered Toast | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Be Vewy Vewy Quiet | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Four Knights | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish River | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Magic | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s the Widget | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Street Legal | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Eliminatr | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gosudarina | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Seventyseven Stone | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willy’s Castle | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tishina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Queen Licia | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trail Blazing Essa | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghai Kimmy | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cedar Valley | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smirk N Swagger | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Aloha Wilko | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mahone Bay | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lost Corsage | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Dynamite | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parable | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Honey Girl | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | March of Dreams | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vespolina | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eternal Peace | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Honor | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marwoods War | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Day Dayenu | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lake Manitou | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forest Halo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Muskoka Dancer | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | You Cant Catch Her | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mustn’t Grumble | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Red Queen’s Court | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shotnabeer | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Purple Scooter | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Orbortunistic | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Savvy’s Sister | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mine Fast Philly | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Light It Up | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boatloadofnerve | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Wuk Up Queen | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Roche’s Point | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.