September 12, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kingly | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wedgewood | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Uproar | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thor’s Rocket | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray’s Fable | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strike Me Down | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clear Destination | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – King Corrie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Francatelli | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aye Aye Sir | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Carthania | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Casanova | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | See Forever | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lontano | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forester’s Turn | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Admiring | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Koto | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Horseshoe | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ostracize | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raconter | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Empress | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Cross | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Ride | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hi Honey | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mum’s the Word | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Prinz of Violence | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lion Kingdom | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Thrill | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icomefromdowntown | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | U S Army Corps | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Say It Again Artie | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kuduro | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Archie’s Link | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Samuel H | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Thinking | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knotty by Design | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Wings of Victory | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Meyer | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Green Fleet | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | English Classic | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Finalist | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Orazio | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Argentium | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancers Ghost | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zephan | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Matinee | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Insider Trading | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Have a Souper Day | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maximus Momentus | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Reserve | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commander Tom | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m the Sheriff | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiz Romantic | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Identity Thief | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | One Thou | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Maakwa | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jocularity | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Longandshortofit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ben Lomond | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Entry to Heaven | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bexar | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fast Negotiations | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Auburn Hills | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sandy Bay | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dani’s Victory | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alicia’s Kid | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Four Aces High | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Diffley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cash Dividend | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bison City S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mizzen Beau | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Katherine | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pseudonym | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Hurts | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gun Society | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Infinite Patience | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justleaveitalone | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ballrooms of Mars | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Canadian S. Presented By The Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Cambier Parc | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Amalfi Coast | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elizabeth Way (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Another Time | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Court Return | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Art of Almost | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rideforthecause | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bold Script | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theodora B. | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Runway Dreamer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Queen’s Plate S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Curlin’s Voyage | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Clayton | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halo Again | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Merveilleux | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dotted Line | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mighty Heart | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Tecumseh’s War | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glorious Tribute | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belichick | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Olliemyboy | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truebelieve | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holyfield | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | F F Rocket | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweepin Hard | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 8 | Short Summer Dress | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Medal | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Perfection Cat | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fairywren | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Raison d’Etre | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grey Seal | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Fabiana | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Make No Mistake | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Enchanted Lady | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeanie B (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stokes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Ballerina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mizzona | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | I’ll Take the Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Ruling Angel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Avie’s Samurai | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Artie’s Princess | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boardroom | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Our Secret Agent | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Positive Danger | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jumping Jill Flash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cambria | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Guestimation | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Critic | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Path | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tallestofthetall | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Executive Retreat | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Green Growth | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Self Inflicted | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Revenge | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seguimi | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Thunder | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cryptic Grip | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Copinsay | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Embrace My Uncle | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.