Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 13, 2020

September 13, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Western Curl 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 A Broken Breeze 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Above All Names 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Nantucket Red 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Royal Wedding 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Rosebud’s Hope 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Silent Tango 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Livin On Luv 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Silent Sister 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Rosa’s Soul 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Nero Davola 3.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Sox and Sandals 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 For My Elbi 1.40 4.3 8-1
6 5 Matthaus 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Canelita 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Correlate 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Master Spy 1.20 2.1 4-1
4 4 Ready Hero 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Mt Logan 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Flex 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Runninforcover 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Bode’s Tipsy 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Delightful Dreamer 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Pipestone 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Sky Dragon 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Capable 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 All Eyes On Me 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Call Her Joey 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Lean On E 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Play It Smart 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Alittleirishluck 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Shanghai Bound 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 13 Tranquility Base 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Dark Ale 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 The Reign Man 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Wave Warning 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Free Speech 10.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Zoomer Music 12.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Torpedo Max 12.00 8.7 17-1
5 5 Northern Solution 20.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Agnelli 20.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Spanish Major 20.00 10 19-1
12 12 Patrol 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Silencium 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 First Crusader 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Double the Heart 15.00 10.2 19-1
2 2 D Magician 20.00 10.4 20-1
13 12 Lillz Not Crying 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kid’s Mischief 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Lapochka 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Colton’s Corner 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Black Sea (FR) 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Night Watchman 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Deep Freeze 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Sheer Flattery 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Red Bo 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Bourbon Extension 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tricky Magician 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Conquistador 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Zoological 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Dancing Doll 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 In a Twist 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Elektronic 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Robusto 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Bala Falls 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 True Dat 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Silver Sheriff 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Red Return 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Danielle’s Song 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Born to Be King 2.50 2.9 6-1
10 10 Pardsy 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Under City Lights 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Mr Will 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Landry 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Offsuit 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Bachelor Pad 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Steel Wool 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Shedat 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 5 Hoity Toity 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Jlohr Jan 4.00 3.9 7-1
10 8 She’s Got Moves 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 6 Eleanor Powell 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Freedom Machine 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Ambitious Princess 20.00 6.1 12-1
11 9 Frame This 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 7 Samantha’s Joy 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Naitaka 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Marais 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Twirling Faith 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Silent Causeway 1.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 A Bridge too Far 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 La Chauffeur 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lea Ro 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 November Fog 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 No Extensions 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Anita Grigio 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Faith Over Fear 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Irving 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Pound Green 3.00 2.2 4-1
14 14 Final Eclipse 8.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Strike a Beat 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Thy Kingdom 12.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 St. Paddy’s Daddy 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Owen’s Souper Moon 12.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Love of Mine 15.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Daddyplaystheblues 15.00 9.5 18-1
15 15 Opus North 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Birchmount Rd 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fifth Season 20.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 Blue Snow 20.00 10.2 19-1
3 3 Ron’s Gizmo 20.00 10.6 20-1
2 2 Union Appreciation 20.00 11.3 21-1
6 6 Personal Journey 20.00 11.3 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.