September 14, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Muntahez | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deerstalker | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silverzar | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Knight | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Man Elvis | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Elregal | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | De Punta a Punta | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Partner’s Power | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Burn and Turn | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Happyascanb | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tomasco | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Epigrammatist | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mithra | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lt. Columbo | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fox in the Fog | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pop Pop’s Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Grandfire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Platinum Paynter | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s So Easy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Witch | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Paolla’s Heart | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Heavenly Hattie | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Savannah’s Dream | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Tig Tog (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kisskiss Telltell | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Lost Point | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Padrinoneverquits | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chevy to the Levy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2X | 10 | Only Essa | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peach Alley | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Bon Heir | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Baltimore Beauty | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Pansy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Top Hat Tizzy | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Berberslilbriebrie | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Descarado | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Girl Powder | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Baaqeya | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Bellarmine Hall | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lexatoga | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sleeplessdreammore | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jane’s Factor | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Drummond | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brew Dog | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Enduros Diamond | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nonno Pietro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Spartak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Knokke by the Sea | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eastport | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sacrificing It All | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Synergized | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Donnie Brasco | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sincere Man | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pawn It Back | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surfer Boy George | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bill’s Mafia | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hold My Call | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | City Guy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hazaspittin’ Image | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Indirectly | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frost’s Song | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sambam | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Vincent | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Solution | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mt Suribachi | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A I Initiative | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Democratic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Warrant Officer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fused | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Vern H | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Kid Macho | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Another Smarty | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pategory One | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Healthcare Heroes | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Milton the Monster | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jayjaydee | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commissioner G | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Know It Now | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rock On Luke | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bob’s My Uncle | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luvinmeiseasy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Robert | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petulant Delight | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | O’Kram | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Flying | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truly a Moon Shot | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Creative Genius | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kid Mac Cool | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Rags | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marriage Fever | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Secret Secret | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forest River | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ironbound | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | A J’s Way | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Square | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adulation | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slot | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Incensed | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blinding | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.