September 21, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I’am a Unicorn | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heroic Officer | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shatter Me | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Up Just in Time | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Li’lbito’charm | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ez On the Eyes | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Better Begin | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risque’s Treasure | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Air Attack | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Mucho Macho Eddie | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Jerome Avenue | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Extra Medium | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chrisatude | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vero Sun | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Jamminwithbrandon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Arrecife | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kid Macho | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spartak | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roan Mountain | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Partner’s Power | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bridlecrest | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rated Special | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Razor Girl | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pegasus in Flight | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pepper Pot | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bourbon Aida | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rising Light | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Broad Jumper | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Misquillo | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Megalomania | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Yourindenial | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bess | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thatta Boy Girl | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Risk | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bow Town Cat | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skookie | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Thirsty | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Imperial Lady | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Abaco Dream | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Neck | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | To the Flag | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Appealing Future | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Popizar | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Asphalt Paving | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fast Runner | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Get the W | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thundershook | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Richie Goes Global | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Start | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Twoforonespecial | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gallic War | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Gaucho | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Piggybank | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Almost Irish | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Odds Are | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Commissioner Dave | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Watchthebourbon | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Strategic Legacy | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Melody | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Marnesia One Step | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gosley | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | True Boldness | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | National Honor | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Another | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Holiday Bonus | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Promise Illgetyou | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Flat Bill | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Staynsidethecircle | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Late Breaking News | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Guns of Steel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Moon Gate Warrior | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mill and Gloria | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shyza | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monaco Princess | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Queen Michelle | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belongs to Babe | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Circle Game | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Drummer Don | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Finglas | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Printer | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sight Line | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | His Royal Majesty | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reigning Warrior | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Banker’s Island | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treasury Stock | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Flying Guy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Howboutdempats | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.