September 24, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Out of Trouble | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pecatonica | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vip Nation | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Short Pour | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Zip | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love and Love | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Singular Sensation | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11A | 8 | Cara’s Dreamer | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Lyn B | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cosmic Kitten | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mendham | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Classic Colors | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Quarantina | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | B C Belle | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Rosey’s Peach | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Frosted Bourbon | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pop the Bubbly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Chasing Cara | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Holy Breeze | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Legit | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingmeister | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backsideofthemoon | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Empty Tomb | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winston’s Chance | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kept Waiting | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Micromillion | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unicorn Sally | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Women Not Easy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Zappem | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Memories Eternal | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mizzen the Mark | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Plink Freud | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Saratoga Lullaby | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Calia | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Breeze | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Girl | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tonilee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Later Cat | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mills | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Financial Freedom | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scarf It Down | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | California Night | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Autostrade | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neighborhood Bully | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dealin’ Stelen | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eden Ridge | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Siesta Kew | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tangerine Dream | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Byhubbyhellomoney | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Secret Love | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweeter | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | U Should B Dancing | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chilly Choos | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ten Plagues | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dreams Still Wild | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caramocha | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | McErin | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Ian Glass | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Kitten’s Cat | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Ghost Giant | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Square Shooter | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Preamble | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Dirty | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Duncastle | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Outrageous Bet | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Stroll | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fast Getaway | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Coltandmississippi | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Brush Country | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Honorable Hero | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Ethan Hunt | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Variant Perception | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Last Zip | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bird’s Eye View | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Southern Bridge | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Impazible Odds | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Out East | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coral Legacy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manoffire | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cause of Action | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Wicked | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fried Rice King | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Capital Structure (GB) | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Logic N Reason | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crystalle | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Queens Embrace | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gogo Shoes | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Fatima | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Oak Creek Canyon | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Mind of Gold | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Love Me Tomorrow | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Vitanza | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Sainte Mere Eglise | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Crick | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madam Deputy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lemoncella | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Honorable Dreams | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Leiha | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Irena N Ella | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Banker | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Queentigua | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.