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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 24, 2020

September 24, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Out of Trouble 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Pecatonica 2.00 4 7-1
4 4 Vip Nation 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Short Pour 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Elegant Zip 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Dancingwthdaffodls 4.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Love and Love 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Singular Sensation 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11A 8 Cara’s Dreamer 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 2 Lyn B 4.50 3 6-1
2 1 Cosmic Kitten 10.00 3 6-1
5 3 Mendham 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 6 Classic Colors 1.80 3.6 7-1
10 7 Quarantina 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 5 B C Belle 20.00 5.4 10-1
12 9 Rosey’s Peach 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 4 Frosted Bourbon 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Pop the Bubbly 30.00 SCRATCH
3A 3 Chasing Cara 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Holy Breeze 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Legit 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Kingmeister 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Backsideofthemoon 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Empty Tomb 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Winston’s Chance 4.50 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kept Waiting 1.40 2.4 5-1
12 12 Micromillion 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Unicorn Sally 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Women Not Easy 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Go Zappem 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Memories Eternal 15.00 5 9-1
10 10 Mizzen the Mark 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Plink Freud 8.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Saratoga Lullaby 30.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Mia Calia 50.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Sweet Breeze 50.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Boston Girl 50.00 9 17-1
13 13 Tonilee 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Later Cat 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mills 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Financial Freedom 4.00 3 6-1
9 9 Scarf It Down 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 California Night 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Autostrade 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Neighborhood Bully 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Dealin’ Stelen 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Eden Ridge 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Siesta Kew 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 2 Tangerine Dream 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 Byhubbyhellomoney 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Secret Love 4.50 2 4-1
10 9 Sweeter 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 U Should B Dancing 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Chilly Choos 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Ten Plagues 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Dreams Still Wild 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Caramocha 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 McErin 3.50 3.6 7-1
10 7 Ian Glass 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 1 Kitten’s Cat 4.00 4.3 8-1
12 9 Ghost Giant 6.00 5.1 10-1
11 8 Square Shooter 4.50 6.1 12-1
6 4 Preamble 12.00 6.2 12-1
14 11 Dirty 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 3 Duncastle 10.00 7.5 14-1
7 5 Outrageous Bet 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 War Stroll 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Fast Getaway 0.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Coltandmississippi 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Skyler’s Scramjet 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Brush Country 6.00 SCRATCH
13 10 Honorable Hero 30.00 10.5 20-1
9 6 Ethan Hunt 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Variant Perception 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 The Last Zip 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Bird’s Eye View 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Bad Guy 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Southern Bridge 8.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Impazible Odds 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Quiet Out East 10.00 5 10-1
6 6 Coral Legacy 15.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Manoffire 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Cause of Action 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Forever Wicked 50.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Fried Rice King 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Capital Structure (GB) 1.60 1.4 3-1
5 4 Logic N Reason 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 Crystalle 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Queens Embrace 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Gogo Shoes 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Lady Fatima 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Oak Creek Canyon 6.00 2 4-1
9 5 Mind of Gold 3.00 3.4 6-1
13 9 Love Me Tomorrow 2.00 3.6 7-1
11 7 Vitanza 12.00 4.6 9-1
12 8 Sainte Mere Eglise 5.00 4.9 9-1
10 6 Crick 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Madam Deputy 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Lemoncella 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 4 Honorable Dreams 30.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Princess Leiha 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Irena N Ella 50.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Emerald Banker 50.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Queentigua 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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