Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 24, 2020

September 24, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sparkle Sammy 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Westlodge Intrigue 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Canadian Magic 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Finding Perfection 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 San Nicola Storm 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Soexotic 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Cry Uncle 20.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Silencer 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Combative 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Veloce 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Lucas n’ Lori 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Keen Artie 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Native Prince 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Silence Breakers 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Doctor Uptown 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Savvy Layla 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Blind Trust 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Last Endeavor 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Best and Final 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Music Tribute 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Grander Plan 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Strong Attitude 20.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Down to Earth 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Systemic Risk 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Gelato Amore 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Wake Up Maggie 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Aunt Tillie 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Fashion Flirt 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Bonnie Lee 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Ka Gee Gee 15.00 6 11-1
9 8 Not a House Frau 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Ima Beast 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Kitchen Fire 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 6 Amnesty 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 8 Raven’s Cry 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Fine Grit 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 7 Groundhog Day 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 4 Majestic Fever 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Jurojin 20.00 6.6 12-1
4 3 Two Timing 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Slip Kid 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Krpan 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tappitty Tappitty 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Lady Kratos 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Sansa’s Vow 3.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 No Mo Temper 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Tonapita 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Eternal Peace 4.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Caira 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Golden Garter 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Slydini 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Samarian 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Mystic Nile 2.50 2 4-1
7 5 Power House 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Close Image 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Crumlin Queen 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Desert Poem 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Alice’s War 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bear Paw 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Venus Verity 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Starlight Ridge 4.00 2.4 5-1
8 7 Shanghai Bound 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Big Cheeks 10.00 3.4 6-1
10 9 In Pursuit 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 L’Amour Toujours 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Cedar Valley 8.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Sweet Edition 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Queen Beach 12.00 6.1 11-1
4 3 Letter Roll 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Sea Fret 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.