September 25, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Young Thomas | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz the Dude | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Valeroso | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Khocu | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | C. P. A. Genius | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Freelance | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Converter | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Highly Noted | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Duel Fuel | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Little Storm Gods | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | New Account | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jump Back Jack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bryton’s D J | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lost Lover | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | The Best Distance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kirby | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luci Breeze | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liesel | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Serena | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cherry Rock Bridge | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Van Khozan | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indy Front | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Global Queen Coco | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Betterthenyourx | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sayonara Baby | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sammy’s Town | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hy Dollface | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Follow Me Mom | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twice as Magical | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | All About Stella | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Trappezoid | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Pepper | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Resident | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fourth Design | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gemologister | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Wrench It | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taco | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Chardrenee | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Twilight | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | K’s Running Free | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Platinumcents | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Galway City | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Pharaoh’s Daughter | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | She’s a Lady Griz | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timetastic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | She’s Just Quality | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Love Ranger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Letsnotgetoexcited | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Humor Me Dixie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Dude | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dreaming Thousand | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Papa Honor | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Mike | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thirsty’s Pride | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Current Hope | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Go Ortego Go | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Maxamillion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 10 | Uncaptured King | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Dillon Rocks | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Budget Buster | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Notsosubtle | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Drama | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Textpectation | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Im the Captain Now | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Danville | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smell of Roses | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Blasphemy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hero of the Hour | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vintner | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Light Fury | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Devoted Kitten | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Elvis Cole | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I’m a G Six | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tatweej | 1.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glory of Florida | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Examiner | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brewmeister | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | African Heritage | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Captured Light | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Benny’s Girlfriend | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | New York Commander | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Irish Thunder | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daresca | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Captivant | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Borrowed Angel | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kay’s Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Signing Bonus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.