September 25, 2020 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Halfinthewrapper | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Out | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gottaflathaveher | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fille d’Esprit | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mandy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Lady Lexi | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zola B | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Somewhere Golden | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beckon | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amplio Esquema | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conga in Paris | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Invester | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pounding Music | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ohh Beehave | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Proper Attire | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz Ferguson | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sky Proposal | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Marley | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thursday | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unrequited Love | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kewpie Doll | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hushed Hijinks | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince Pere | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreaming of Carats | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mosby’s Ranger | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hair of the Dog | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miracle Bobbie | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baltimore Bud | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crying for More | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Degas | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Zip Line to Heaven | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Don Ciccio | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flash Is Back | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Embeed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | King Shawn | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Polished Copper | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ragtime Suzy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Heavenly Hattie | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Simmard Shenanigan | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ortinola | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Arbutus | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stated | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Princess Georgia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | San Antone | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Twice as Smart | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Helms Deep | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Prankster | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sam in Style | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dreampoint | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pepe and Heywood | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bananas On Fire | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gallant George | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shepherd’s Will | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tales of Saratoga | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Market Analysis | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Absolved | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seven On the Rocks | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karan’s Notion | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Cairo Kid | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stone Courageous | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Thunder | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jaxon Traveler | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | King Alan | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Some Mo | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lamarkable | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speightster Red | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Pearls | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lugamo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Macho Smoke | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rapid Response | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Triple Titos | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Cool | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Chico Con Alex | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Indefatigable | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Taxable Goods | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Gunnison | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nick Papagiorgio | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Clear Vision | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Cannon’s Roar | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Doctor | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Market Mover | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tattooed | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Skyscanner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Howman (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Somekindofmagician | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Artemus Bridge | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Can’thelpbelieving (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Reconvene | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 6 | No Bull Addiction | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Mans Land | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Patriotic Punch | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Force | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin for Candy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Black Belt | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockstar Girl | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ran Char | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eloquent Lady | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.