Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 19, 2020

October 19, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 One Slick Chick 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 Freedom Passage 1.80 2.1 4-1
1 1 Whitney Cove 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Still Alive 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Cardi G 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Will Take Over 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Samadi Sky 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 5 True Wisdom 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 2 Navy Commander 2.50 5.3 10-1
1A 10 Down With the King 15.00 SCRATCH
2X 6 Marriage Fever 15.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Incensed 10.00 6.6 13-1
2 4 The Pooch 15.00 SCRATCH
4 1 Very Colorful 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 8 Hide the Candy 2.00 SCRATCH
1 3 Jacks a Warrior 15.00 8.8 17-1
3 4 Salt It Here 12.00 8.8 17-1
3C 7 Saratoga Wildcat 12.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Verrazano Vittoria 4.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Fillupcohensapiker 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bow Town Cat 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Special Risk 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Galileo’s Affair 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Her Divineness 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Livin a Dream 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Sally O’Prado 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Not in the Mood 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Up Just in Time 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Congaree Rose 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Our Lady of Loreto 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Triple Jump 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Caseyoudidn’tknow 8.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Goddess of Cash 10.00 3.7 7-1
1A 4 Iwasbornawinner 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Willthisshipsail 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Cawaja Time 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Sweet Lilly Factum 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Prized Merry 5.00 SCRATCH
12 7 Jerome Avenue 2.00 2.2 4-1
9 5 Aced 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 3 Masterful Touch 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 2 Holiday Bonus 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 4 Weather Wiz 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 1 Kadens Courage 8.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Dramatized 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Overbold 15.00 SCRATCH
11 6 Hizaam 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Atta Kid 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Mt Suribachi 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Incubator 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Doddsprivatelabel 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Mass Appeal 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Thomas Knight 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Ride On Faith 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Colorado Grandslam 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Draxhall Woods 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Ironbound 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Free for Nothing 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nancy B 1.80 2.2 4-1
7 7 Lady Joanna 5.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Mary’s Song 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Aleda Lutz 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Supergirl Power 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Free Coffee 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Georgia Bonnet 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Savannah’s Dream 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 West Horizen 15.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Pastiche 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Point Lockout 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 7 Penance 3.50 2 4-1
1A 13 Platinum Paynter 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Checkbouncin Billy 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Miss Jen 3.00 SCRATCH
15 8 Dazzle Me 5.00 3 6-1
11 11 Shes Dynomite 8.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Janelle Dreams 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Justin Time 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Bella Pierina 15.00 SCRATCH
13 6 Lorden’s Love 5.00 5 9-1
12 12 Petticoatsnpistols 15.00 SCRATCH
5 2 So Innocent 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 1 Karabessa 15.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Gator Girl 12.00 8 15-1
9 9 Theaterintheround 8.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Blue Shine 20.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Padrinoneverquits 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 4 Crazy Bea 3.50 2.9 6-1
10 10 Tiz Gracie 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 8 Rolls Royce Joyce 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Lucky Imagination 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Promised Storm 3.00 4.5 8-1
3 2 Hay Buck 15.00 5.8 11-1
1A 11 Lula’s Roadrunner 5.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Disco Deja Vu 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Sweet Turn 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Victoria E 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Movie Score 8.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Love On Fire 3.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Knight Tales 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Dreaming Diamonds 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 8 Salsita Roja 1.80 4.5 8-1
5 4 Di 4.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Corn Off the Cob 4.50 5.8 11-1
2 1 Midnight Miracle 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 Prospective Belle 12.00 6.3 12-1
1A 11 Coupella 1.80 SCRATCH
7 6 Atlantic Avenue 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 7 She’smyrisenstar 12.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Towson 20.00 9.1 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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