November 7, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grit and Glory | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unrelenting Force | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blood Moon | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Striking Speed | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Joint and Several | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Titan’s Will | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cobble Hill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Ghostghostghost | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonus Baby | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Running On Entry | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosey’s Invasion | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dream Chasing | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandra’s Mine | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Meg | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Excited Feeling | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Vinita | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Cemetery V I P | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dustinthewind | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Red Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tiny Magoo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Grape Therapy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hey It’s Tati | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Steppin’ Hawk | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Turnback The Alarm H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nonna Madeline | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Flag | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Another Broad | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Orb | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful Princess | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Winters Back | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Clemenza | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ethos | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bay Street Money | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johnnypump | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Exult | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Makoto | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vriodini | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corkman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chaysenbryn | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Skew | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess in Charge | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mani Pedi | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hayezhee | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Lumberjane | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tripp Road | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild North | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Syzygy | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Destinationwnrscir | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Teetotaler | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Twelve Toes | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jamaica Joy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chilly Choos | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Brew | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Poncho Song | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Out First | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stormi Cat Lady | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Photofinish Jeanne | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caramocha | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tassi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Early Edition | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gun Hill Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bella Principessa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | River Nile | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Empire Express | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Posse Can Disco | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ringgood | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brickyard | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talespin | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fusilli | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Fidget | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Hold Back | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Wind | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liquor | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Have a Heart | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Stewart Manor S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Magisterium (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Pants | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Soul | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Illegal Smile (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Show Me the Honey | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Herald Angel | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lexinator | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spirited Beauty | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Girl | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Starr | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blitchton Lady | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lottie’s Mizzion | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheatham Hill | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kinky Sox | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dublinornothin | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Pinky | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ifihadachance | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Pure Wow | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Robin Sparkles | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fetching | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Abuse of Power | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Saratoga Love | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Uplifted | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fionnbharr | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Wicked Amber | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brass Ring | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Madam Maclean | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gogo Shoes | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.